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News & Information

  • Room Night Distribution Trends

    by Branden T. White | Jun 30, 2022

    The relative strength of leisure travel, combined with weakness in corporate and group travel, has led to shifts in the distribution of room night demand relative to pre-pandemic norms. The increased percentage of leisure travelers led to growth in reservations made through OTAs (Online Travel Agencies) and property direct bookings, while weakness in corporate and group business led to declines in the percentage of bookings made via group and GDS (Global Distribution System) channels. Business travel has been picking up, although group demand and international travel have been slower to return. As of Q1 2022, total room night demand for U.S. hotels was 89% of that achieved in Q1 2019. Additionally, year-to-date TSA passenger throughput has been holding steady near 90% of 2019 levels. Despite downward pressure on economic growth caused by record inflation, rising gas prices, and the substantial pull-back in the S&P 500 since January, the hotel recovery continues. Overall, group and business travel have improved significantly in recent quarters, resulting in Q1 2022 distribution ratios that are more in-line with pre-pandemic levels, as shown below.

    U.S. Hotels Q1 2022 - All

    Screen Shot 2022-06-30 at 1.56.11 PM


    Room Nights by Source of Business

    Screen Shot 2022-06-30 at 1.57.52 PM

    For more information, contact: 

    Branden T. White, MRICS, ASA
    Vice President
    +1 520 323 5175 (office)
    branden.white@cbre.com


    CBRE Hotels Advisory is a specialized group within CBRE providing capital markets, consulting, investment sales, research, and valuation services to companies across the hotel sector. CBRE Hotels is comprised of more than 385 dedicated hospitality professionals located in 60 offices across the globe.


  • Q1 2022 U.S. Macro Outlook

    by Molly Cole | May 13, 2022
    CBRE Econometric Advisors has published the Q1 2022 Macro-Outlook.

    Key Takeaways:

    – The world has changed considerably in recent months. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has impacted global oil & gas and grain supplies, aggravating an already tenuous inflation situation. Energy prices will likely remain heightened throughout this year, and we have increased our inflation outlook for 2022 to 6.6%. But because the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is quickly initiating a tightening cycle, price gains for some core items are easing and base effects should become evident in future Consumer Prince Index (CPI) reports. Our Baseline scenario expects the pace of inflation to peak this summer.

    – Federal Reserve policy is shifting. The FOMC’s focus has shifted from full employment to price stability. The Committee will soon wind down its quantitative easing program and will likely initiate several rate hikes during 2022. In early May the Fed increased its target rate by 50 basis points (bps) and may do so again during the summer. This would likely be followed by three 25-bps hikes later this year.
     
    – Everything from very high levels of job openings to rising wages for ‘essential’ workers suggests the labor market is extremely tight. The cause is two-pronged as quickly rising demand for labor amid the re-opening of the economy in 2021 has been paired with stubbornly low labor force participation rates. The anecdotes about many baby boomers retiring are substantiated in the data, as participation rates for the 55+ crowd remain low but improved community health and rising wages will entice some folks back to work. Job growth should exceed 3% this year. Over the long term, the U.S. labor market, along with other OECD countries, must contend with a shrinking working-age population.

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